The Bank of Japan has recently revised its yield curve control policy, which may result in an easier increase in interest rates. This development has prompted questions about how it will affect the Japanese Yen and carry trades that are widely used.
Throughout the year, the Yen has been weakening due to other countries raising their interest rates while Japan has kept them unchanged. Despite a headline rate of -0.1%, Japan uses yield curve control to keep yields under a certain level by purchasing bonds in the secondary market. Previously, they capped 10-year Japanese government bonds at plus half a percent, but they recently announced that this limit would now be flexible.
Despite this announcement, the market has surprisingly rejected Yen’s strength. Since the announcement, the Yen has weakened instead of strengthening.
The Bank of Japan’s credibility is being questioned due to its reluctance to increase rates compared to the US and Europe. While other countries have seen a 2-4% increase during their hiking cycles, Japan has only allowed for a minimal increase of no more than half a percent in the long run. This lack of change has left many people feeling dissatisfied.
The Yen has been affected by carry trades, where people borrow cheaply in Yen and invest in higher interest rate currencies like Mexican Pesos or EM currencies. Even the US Dollar is currently a high-interest-rate currency. There is a 5% interest differential between the Dollar and the Yen.
These trades have accumulated a lot of money and are heavily positioned. The MXN/JPY currency pair is particularly important for this trade, as Mexico is considered a relatively safe emerging market with high-interest rates. During the Silicon Valley bank crisis in March, this currency pair dropped 10% in just a few days. As a result, it is important to keep an eye on these trades, as the potential for large and powerful flows of money to be unwound exists.
MXN/JPY Long (Buy)
Enter At: 8.407
T.P_1: 8.476
T.P_2: 8.683
T.P_3: 8.953
T.P_4: 9.247
T.P_5: 9.751
T.P_6: 10.129
T.P_7: 10.338
T.P_8: 10.548
T.P_9: 10.800
S.L: 7.715
Disclaimer
All information on this website is of a general nature. The information is not adapted to conditions that are specific to your person or entity. The information provided can not be considered as personal, professional or legal advice or investment advice to the user.
This website and all information is intended for educational purposes only and does not give financial advice. Signal Mastermind Signals is not a service to provide legal and financial advice; any information provided here is only the personal opinion of the author (not advice or financial advice in any sense, and in the sense of any act, ordinance or law of any country) and must not be used for financial activities. Signal Mastermind Signals does not offer, operate or provide financial, brokerage, commercial or investment services and is not a financial advisor. Rather, Signal Mastermind Signals is an educational site and a platform for exchanging Forex information. Whenever information is disclosed, whether express or implied, about profit or revenue, it is not a guarantee. No method or trading system ensures that it will generate a profit, so always remember that trade can lead to a loss. Trading responsibility, whether resulting in profits or losses, is yours and you must agree not to hold Signal Mastermind Signals or other information providers that are responsible in any way whatsoever. The use of the system means that the user accepts Disclaimer and Terms of Use.
Signal Mastermind Signals is not represented as a registered investment consultant or brokerage dealer nor offers to buy or sell any of the financial instruments mentioned in the service offered.
While Signal Mastermind Signals believes that the content provided is accurate, there are no explicit or implied warranties of accuracy. The information provided is believed to be reliable; Signal Mastermind Signals does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Third parties refer to Signal Mastermind Signals to provide technology and information if a third party fails, and then there is a risk that the information may be delayed or not delivered at all.
All information and comments contained on this website, including but not limited to, opinions, analyzes, news, prices, research, and general, do not constitute investment advice or an invitation to buy or sell any type of instrument. Signal Mastermind Signals assumes no responsibility for any loss or damage that may result, directly or indirectly, from the use or dependence on such information.
All information contained on this web site is a personal opinion or belief of the author. None of these data is a recommendation or financial advice in any sense, also within the meaning of any commercial act or law. Writers, publishers and affiliates of Signal Mastermind Signals are not responsible for your trading in any way.
The information and opinions contained in the site are provided for information only and for educational reasons, should never be considered as direct or indirect advice to open a trading account and / or invest money in Forex trading with any Forex company . Signal Mastermind Signals assumes no responsibility for any decisions taken by the user to create a merchant account with any of the brokers listed on this website. Anyone who decides to set up a trading account or use the services, free of charge or paid, to any of the Broker companies mentioned on this website, bears full responsibility for their actions.
Any institution that offers a service and is listed on this website, including forex brokers, financial companies and other institutions, is present only for informational purposes. All ratings, ratings, banners, reviews, or other information found for any of the above-mentioned institutions are provided in a strictly objective manner and according to the best possible reflection of the materials on the official website of the company.
Forex/CFD trading is potentially high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high level of leverage can work both for and against traders. Before each Forex/CFD investment, you should carefully consider your goals, past experience and risk level. The opinions and data contained on this site should not be considered as suggestions or advice for the sale or purchase of currency or other instruments. Past results do not show or guarantee future results.
Neither Signal Mastermind Signals nor its affiliates ensure the accuracy of the content provided on this Site. You explicitly agree that viewing, visiting or using this website is at your own risk.
