Eli Lilly’s Stock is Expected to Surge 29% in The Next Year, as Their Weight-Loss Drug is Projected to Reach $60 Billion in Sales by 2030 According to BofA

Bank of America has reiterated its “Buy” rating on Eli Lilly’s shares, with an increased price target of $1,000 from $800, which is currently the highest price target on Wall Street. The bank predicts that shares of Eli Lilly could surge another 29% from their current levels as its GLP-1 weight loss drug sees a sales boom.

Eli Lilly’s GLP-1 drugs have already experienced a swift uptake in sales, which help patients lose weight faster with fewer side effects than competing FDA-approved drugs. However, the opportunity for Eli Lilly is to expand its approved indications for the drug beyond obesity, which could lead to increased insurance coverage for the drug. GLP-1 drugs can also help in heart disease, obstructive sleep apnea, and liver disease. According to Bank of America analyst Geoff Meacham, these additional opportunities are vastly underappreciated.

Bank of America expects sales of Eli Lilly’s GLP-1 drugs to continue seeing strength for years to come, with the potential for sales to top $60 billion by 2030. For perspective, Eli Lilly generated $34 billion in revenue last year. The bank’s forecasts are still considered conservative as it assumes that fewer than 7% of US adults will be on a GLP-1 for obesity (including competitors) by 2030.

Next-generation weight loss drugs from Eli Lilly, if approved, could add $20 billion to the company’s revenue by 2030, bringing its total weight-loss class of drugs to more than $80 billion of sales. The company is developing an oral version of its GLP-1 drugs, as opposed to the current injection form of the drug, as well as a GGG agonist, which has shown promise in helping patients lose weight without significant muscle loss.

Meacham noted that Eli Lilly has a portfolio and pipeline of drugs aside from its weight-loss franchise that, while much smaller than the projected growth of Mounjaro and Zepbound, should help add diversification to its business. He also mentioned that Eli Lilly’s neuroscience, oncology, and I&I segments seem less impactful but diversification and optionality are essential. Bank of America sees an impressive +16% 5-year CAGR for oncology/I&I. I&I refers to Eli Lilly’s immunology and inflammation drugs.

Eli Lilly Long (Buy)
Enter At: 786.44
T.P_1: 806.22
T.P_2: 838.61
T.P_3: 861.35
T.P_4: 879.44
T.P_5: 902.47
T.P_6: 928.79
T.P_7: 960.04
T.P_8: 1000
S.L: 722

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Eli Lilly
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