Despite an Improvement in the US Dollar, USD/MXN Has Reduced Its Intraday Gains and Is Currently Hovering Around 17.10

USD/MXN has broken a three-day losing streak, as the US Dollar strengthens. During the early European hours on Monday, the USD/MXN pair is trading higher near 17.10. The US Dollar Index rose to nearly 103.20, thanks to improved 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bond coupons, which stand at 4.41% and 4.12%, respectively, at the time of writing.

However, the US Dollar has encountered downward pressure due to the market’s expectations of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing policy rates more than other major central banks in 2024. Despite this, the Greenback may still find support due to its safe-haven status, particularly amid concerns surrounding maritime trade in the Red Sea. Consequently, this provides upward support to underpin the USD/MXN pair.

The heightened geopolitical threat, as the United States and the United Kingdom aim to escalate their campaign without triggering a broader conflict with Iran, has led to more ships diverting away from the Suez Canal and the Red Sea. This redirection is prompting shipping vessels to carefully assess the risks associated with navigating the Red Sea, with rising insurance costs becoming a significant consideration.

However, INEGI’s Retail Sales report, which was made public on Friday, indicated a drop in retail sales in Mexico for November. The 3.4% yearly growth rate was followed by a 2.7% increase, which was less than the 3.2% predicted growth rate. Monthly sales, on the other hand, were 0.1% as opposed to the predicted 0.5%. It was 0.8% in the previous reading.

The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) will release the 1st half-month Inflation data for January on Wednesday. The market expects a reduction of 0.38% from the previous 0.58%. Meanwhile, core inflation could report a figure of 0.28% against the previous reading of 0.46%.

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USD/MXN
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